White paper · 2025
Pensions and private markets.
Why Europe's pension capital is structurally underexposed to growth — and what patient, long-horizon allocation can return to the people it serves.
8 MIN READ · PDF · SEP 2025
- 8 MIN READ
- SEP 2025
- 01~0.00%Share of EU pension assets in venture capital
- 028.3%vs~4.5%Annual net return, top Canadian pension funds vs European pension funds (10-yr)
- 03€0.0TEuropean pension assets
Executive summary
Across Europe, pension systems hold decades of retirement savings against liabilities measured in decades. Yet next to none of that capital reaches venture and growth — the very part of the market whose returns compound over precisely that horizon.
The mismatch is not in risk appetite but in design. Portfolios across France, Germany and much of Central Europe still sit largely in bonds, and pay-as-you-go schemes have quietly crowded out the funded capital that could afford to wait. Waiting, though, is the whole advantage: in private markets the best outcomes accrue to owners who can hold through cycles. Pension capital is, in principle, exactly that owner.
Pension capital is the most patient capital there is. Europe has simply never invested it that way.
This paper measures the gap, shows how Canada’s funded model turned that patience into returns near double the European average, and argues that redirecting even one percent of pension assets — roughly €87 billion a year — would serve the saver, the state and the companies being built at home. The obstacle is no longer permission but translation: one world speaks growth, the other speaks liabilities, and Aspire11 exists to make them speak to each other.
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Authors
Questions about the research? hello@aspire11cap.com